Companies are entering the market because the monitoring pie is getting bigger, and niches should provide opportunities for specialized companies to grow, says Nagendra Cherukupalli, SunEdisons Vice President of Systems Engineering R&D, based in Belmont, California.
Indeed, solar data logging and monitoring systems are facing ever-increasing competition from China and elsewhere as balance of systems (BOS) cost reduction pressures tick onward. And as electronics are compressed across BOS component lines like the merger of inverter and monitor functions system compatibility and plug & play capabilities may become necessary for brand survival.
Within two years monitoring and data logging systems will become a black box with sophisticated onboard computers and plug-and-play attachments for all other PV systems, reckons Christian Leers, a private owner of 5 MW of PV power plants, based in Melsbach, Germany. And the more sophisticated the monitoring system you install, the better you will operate your plants, he adds.
Monitoring capex relatively small
The investment allocated to monitoring and data logging may average two percent of a total plants capital expenditure, with that figure somewhat higher in the residential segment, and lower in larger installations, several sources agreed. For a 10 MW plant, monthly monitoring services may cost $10,000, one U.S. source estimates.
Last year, when West Holdings of Japan announced an imminent joint venture with SunEdison to provide PV monitoring system services in Japan, a cost of service in the $30,000 range was predicted for a 2 MW plant, according to West Holdings statements.
In contrast to the cost of installing a monitoring system, risk insurance for production interruption could cost 0.15% of the total plant capex per year, suggests Leers. Thus over the 20 year lifetime of a plant, risk insurance may have cost twice what the cost of installing the monitoring system was. Thus, more robust monitoring systems, which permit active management of production risk, will be in greater demand. And regressive analysis will necessitate deep databases, which SunEdison maintains: We keep data going back seven years, and have very sophisticated search engines to cull out information, Cherukupalli says.
More component integration
Separating out the cost of monitoring systems will become more difficult in the future since monitors eventually will increasingly merge with inverters and all other electronics in a PV system, several sources suggest. In the residential and commercial segments we are going to see more component integration, reducing the need for data loggers, into one device, says Cedric Brehaut, the Founder of SoliChamba Consulting & Market Research, based in San Francisco.
SunEdisons Energy & Environmental Data System (SEEDS) monitoring system, for example, enables its control centers to manage the full range of components and systems within a solar installation including: weather stations; pyranometers; ambient temperature sensors; panel temperature sensors; inverters; string combiners; recombiners; and AC subsystems. The company came out last year with a new user-definable interface, the SunEdison Connect, notes Cherukupalli.
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xAdvertisementtant to reduce commissioning costs of monitoring systems, he adds.
Mergers and acquisitions
As PV monitoring customers become more demanding, consolidation in the industry is likely to continue. The market now is very, very overcrowded, reckons Tor Blackstad, the CEO of GreenPowerMonitor, of San Jose. Several significant acquisitions of monitoring companies took place last year. Zurich-based systems giant ABB acquired Power-One, of Camarillo, California, in July 2013. Similarly, inverter major SolarMax, of Längfeld, Switzerland, in August 2013 acquired Draker, of Burlington, Vermont, an independent monitoring company with 1.2 GW under management. Then AlsoEnergy, of Boulder, Colorado, acquired Deck Monitoring, of Portland, in October of last year. And in December, Inaccess, of London, acquired Sense One Technologies, also of London.
There will be massive consolidation among monitoring companies, predicts Tom Rudolph, head of SMA Online Solutions, in Niestetal, Germany. It takes a lot of money to run a monitoring system 24/7 and to deliver data to customers, so companies may only exist in the future if they monitor a large number of plants, he reckons. There is a big difference between a company that monitors a few thousand plants and one that can monitor hundreds of thousands.
Fewer independent companies
The need for independent monitoring companies was born out of the multitude of different standards in inverters made around the world, company representatives explain. Today, independent monitoring companies also need global reach to provide high level service to any country where a PV plant may be located. However, the market is still fragmented geographically, says Brehaut: Monitoring markets are still very localized in nature, so the leading firms in Germany are completely different from those in the United States or Japan or China. The largest European independent monitoring companies include meteocontrol, Solare Datensysteme, and skytron energy, Leers suggests. Another European independent with global reach is GreenPowerMonitor, based in Barcelona, which has 1.7 GW of PV under management. The companys North American headquarters in San Jose is its second telecommunications center. In conjunction with its Spanish center, it has near 24/7 capability. A third location is planned soon, says Blackstad. One established 24/7 global network is that of SunEdison, which operates communication nodes in Belmont, California, Madrid, Spain and Chennai, India.
Independent monitoring companies must also be able to configure systems uniquely for each client installation andfor custom data analysis, marketers from Common-Link, of Karlsruhe, point out. Common-Links modular monitoring system is able to control individual generator strings as well as the inverter outputs [
] independent of the inverter type or make. Simultaneously, operators and service teams obtain precise data about yield in real time. This is ensured by the finely tuned interaction between the hardware for data acquisition/remote transmission, and the analysis & control software package specially developed for this purpose, the marketers say.
Integrated verticals
Monitoring companies are expected to form more alliances with vertically integrated PV companies in the near term. EPCs know PV power systems but are less familiar with networking and the internet side, so they need a (monitoring) partner to help get problems sorted out, says Locus Energys De Luca. Having the capability to remotely address fault codes through two-way communications is a huge advantage, he says. One way Locus does that for installer partners is to preregister all components of a system and configure them into the monitoring network so that once the system goes hot, all components are recognized.
In the residential segment, large portfolio operators might be tempted to establish organically or through acquisition theirxAdvertisementown fleet monitoring systems, Brehaut suggests. In the U.S. market we have PPA providers who are potential players like SolarCity, Sunrun and First Solar. Among vertically integrated industrials that offer PV monitoring is Siemens, which in October 2013 discontinued much of its other solar business. Now Siemens microinverter products are being managed by Siemens Low and Medium Voltage Division.
One tracker supplier that is also providing advanced monitoring services for its own equipment is NEXTracker, of Fremont, California, which operates its system in a wireless mesh network. We dont need to roll out communications wire in the field, which is huge, says Dan Shugar, the CEO of the company. We characterize the health of every tracker row constantly during the day, and can perform diagnostic predictions on any mechanical element a huge step forward for the industry, he says.
Web vs. ERP programs
Apart from universal adaptability to PV components, monitoring programs also need to be able to bridge the gap between simple web-based displays and complex enterprise resource planning (ERP) programs, which can merge data from multiple plants across multiple locations. The future of PV monitoring on the residential level will be in more tailored user interfaces on the web, suggests Martin Beran, the head of system support, product markets, and research and development at Fronius USA, based in Portage, Indiana. Fronius already provides a white-label framework for fleet-level operators, carrying their logo on a web-linked user screen.
GreenPowerMonitor also offers web-based monitoring through its real time
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PV Portal product, at the same time it offers PV Scada for individual control room capabilities coupled with a full GPM Power Plant Controller (PPC). But there are fundamental limitations to what you can do with a browser-based tool, observes GreenPowerMonitors Blackstad. If you need more flexibility for proprietary algorithms and forecasting, with multiple interconnected screens, then you need a Windows-based tool, he says. The companys most encompassing management product, GPM PV+, provides data at a one second refresh rate frequency.
Others disagree with the need for separate Windows programs to monitor PV systems. Commercial customers dont want a separate computer for monitoring because they already have a building management software system, notes Beran. Maintenance people see the PV system as another appliance, like air conditioning, so they want PV monitoring integrated into their system, he says.
To provide fleet-level monitoring, cloud-based data storage and off-site computation is also a strong trend among monitoring systems. The future of monitoring and data logging will be in the cloud; it can deal with more data, offer more features, and modify and calculate better, says Rudolph. And in the future with the smart grid, the most important thing will be standards-based communication between the smart home generator/consumer and the utility, he adds.
Quality control and standards
The U.S. photovoltaics industrys effort to standardize the multiple proprietary inverter communications interfaces and protocols is still at an early stage, but it is inevitable.
Progress in standardization was faster in Germany where a lot of work was done over the last 10 to 15 years, although it has slowed a bit; now there is more progress in the United States, says Fronius USAs Beran.
The SunSpec Alliance has done a lot, adds Brehaut of SoliChamba Consulting & Market Research. Californias upcoming Rule 21, which emphasizes enhanced control between distributed solar PV sources and the utility, will help set monitoring language and protocol standards in that trendsetting state, Brehaut suggests.
One effort to benchmark performance so monitoring systems may uniformly predict failures is the cooperation between GE and the Fraunhofer Institute for Reliability and Microintegration (IZM). The two launched their joint Condition Monitoring for Power Electronics in Photovoltaics (CoMoLeFo) project in 2012 as a method to forecast the remaining lifetime of power electronics.
For the present, cross-continental certification of systems is a necessary duplication of effort because of the lack of an established global standard for monitoring protocols.
In January, Berlin-based skytron energy gained Underwriters Laboratories approval for its plant control system marketing in the United States. The controllers cETLus approval to the UL/CSA 60950-1 equipment safety standard rounds off UL certification of skytrons entire instrumentation and control range for renewable power plants and particularly for utility-scale photovoltaic installations, said Alberto Gallego, the companys Product Marketing Manager, at the time of the certification. Skytron has installed monitoring and control systems at PV plants with a combined capacity of over 4.5 GW, of which 3 GW are equipped with their proprietary plant controller.xAdvertisement
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